As an
Economy student I was taught all about the wonders of the market: how, let
free, it accomplishes an allocation of resources and gives in the end better
products, services and wealth to Society. I also learned about the core hypothesis
underlying the theory of free market. And I believe in them. What I don´t
believe in is in the market… as it is at present. The main reason being, that
one of the main hypotheses doesn’t work en reality. And the good news is that
digital economy corrects that flaw.
For the
market to work correctly, the hypothesis is that all contenders, producers and
consumers must have equal access to equal information. When there are
asymmetries of information, abuses happen, by either side. With asymmetries of
information, power games can dwell, with small countervailing powers available.
It happens in local economies. It happens in non democratic countries. It doesn´t
happen in the Web. It doesn´t happen in
the digital economy.
Call me naïve
if you wish, but this is something I see everyday happening once and again,
increasingly. What was created with the Web is a virtual space where all are equal. It doesn´t matter how much
money you've got: the late business success stories have not been about putting
more money, but about acting fast and smart. It doesn´t matter how you access
the Web: it can be from a smartphone or an old computer; it can be with
extra-speed or lower-end broad band. Once you are inside, you have access to
the same amount of information, business tools, apps, products and services,
learning experiences and living experiences. All are equal. Information
is symmetrical. Knowledge – in the form of information and tools – is the new,
unlimited resource, available for all, on equal basis. Mostly, for free.
The Web has transformed business and societies,
and it will continue to do so, at increasing speed. In the Web, free markets
are really free, since information is hugely available to all. The Digital
economy has been growing at two digits, and is by far and long the most dynamic
economy in the world. It is
destroying traditional jobs, but for each one destroyed, it creates 2.6 new
ones, with better quality and better income. The most that benefit from it are the
Small and Medium Companies and the independent professionals[1].
The main shift in the knowledge economy is towards individual autonomy, by
enabling consumers to become producers of knowledge,
innovation, energy ... and food. The concept of a large corporation where
people are workers for owners is obsolete in the knowledge economy. Already professional services centered on consulting are increasing (I’ve been there
for the past 16 years!). Manufacturing tools will empower individuals to make
things at home with technologies such as 3D printing. These manufacturing tools
will enable customized, personalized clothing to be made from raw materials. Small
scale, residential hydroponic agriculture is already being commercialized. In
the knowledge (or digital) economy, 50% or more of the value in the GDP will be
created by autonomous individuals who are sole proprietors and producers. With
IT tools connected to the cloud, people can do banking so big, Banks are not
needed. The 21st Century is the Age of Autonomy. Cities will become
distributed. The technical definition of this type of organization is a holonic
architecture and the people are holons - independent, yet networked cooperative
agents. Holonic systems are distributed systems and are faster, more reliable
and economically more efficient and cheaper to operate that centralized
systems. The Internet is a holonic system. The PC and cell phones are parts of
holonic systems. A pure democracy has holonic voting. Systems naturally evolve
to become holonic[2].
As this “holonic system” unravels, more and more people will incorporate
to self independence, working networked. As this holinic system unravels, power
will shift from big entities (Corporations, the State) to distributed entities
(the Web, networked people, crowdsourcers). As I have written repeatedly, this Web has “a
will of its own”, as the ring of the Lord. It has its own Agenda. It runs by
its own plans. It has created a huge value in very few years, and a huge
innovation process of which we are seeing but the first steps (the “Belle Epoque”,
that other great era of innovation, lasted 70 years) It may even borrow Asimov´s
concept of psycho-history (though that is too
dramatic, but you get the point).
So what the tide of digital innovation is bringing is a new paradigm of
Society. It might not be clear to many or most of people working and living
today, as they worked and lived in the past 30-50 years. It was not clear for
the people living in the early 19th Century, while in front of them
political systems fell and were replaced by democracies, and Mercantilism was
overcome by Capitalism. We still are not aware that what is going on now has
not happened since writing was invented. We are a social race, and communicating
paradigms are the milestones to leapfrog advances in humanity. It took 7,000
years for writing to be masificable, with the invention of printing. It took
another 500 years before you could say the new technology was available for 30%
of the World’s population, and could be deemed a universal value. It has taken
only 20 years to the Web be accessed by 30% of the World’s Population, and it has
already been named a “basic human right” by the United Nations.
Why all that? Because digital economy is about equal opportunities, especially
for those who are less favored. Putting the focus in the development of human
talent puts the focus on real equal opportunities.
Alfredo Barriga
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/08/201281123554276263.html
ResponderEliminarIs there a new geopolitics?
A new form of geopolitics is threatening to dethrone the old paradigm of a hard power, West-centric world
There is, Laurie. But I don´t think it has to do with East-West or South/North. Power will be distributed. As I post, I think it will come from the Web. No one will be able to extert power in a platform which was built around the idea of freedom of speech and of access to contents and information. Hard Power NEEDS assymetric information.
ResponderEliminarThanks for your link!
Alfredo